Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000785 0.000896 0.001013 0.001147 0.001294 0.001450 0.001628
2025-02-02 0.000624 0.000780 0.000957 0.001170 0.001419 0.001699 0.002034
2025-02-09 0.000518 0.000690 0.000894 0.001150 0.001460 0.001820 0.002267
2025-02-16 0.000435 0.000615 0.000837 0.001127 0.001490 0.001924 0.002476
2025-02-23 0.000386 0.000574 0.000815 0.001140 0.001557 0.002068 0.002732
2025-03-02 0.000344 0.000537 0.000793 0.001148 0.001615 0.002199 0.002973
2025-03-09 0.000295 0.000485 0.000745 0.001116 0.001617 0.002258 0.003121
2025-03-16 0.000254 0.000438 0.000700 0.001084 0.001615 0.002307 0.003255
2025-03-23 0.000227 0.000410 0.000679 0.001082 0.001651 0.002404 0.003453
2025-03-30 0.000204 0.000386 0.000660 0.001081 0.001687 0.002502 0.003651
2025-04-06 0.000182 0.000359 0.000635 0.001070 0.001707 0.002577 0.003821
2025-04-13 0.000160 0.000331 0.000606 0.001049 0.001712 0.002630 0.003959
2025-04-20 0.000149 0.000322 0.000605 0.001072 0.001780 0.002775 0.004229
2025-04-27 0.000138 0.000311 0.000602 0.001090 0.001842 0.002912 0.004491
2025-05-04 0.000122 0.000288 0.000577 0.001072 0.001849 0.002970 0.004643
2025-05-11 0.000107 0.000265 0.000550 0.001050 0.001848 0.003015 0.004777
2025-05-18 0.000099 0.000256 0.000545 0.001062 0.001900 0.003138 0.005023
2025-05-25 0.000091 0.000245 0.000537 0.001069 0.001944 0.003249 0.005254
2025-06-01 0.000078 0.000224 0.000509 0.001039 0.001927 0.003269 0.005354
2025-06-08 0.000067 0.000204 0.000481 0.001009 0.001908 0.003284 0.005444
2025-06-15 0.000061 0.000194 0.000470 0.001007 0.001934 0.003368 0.005637
2025-06-22 0.000055 0.000184 0.000460 0.001006 0.001961 0.003454 0.005835
2025-06-29 0.000049 0.000173 0.000445 0.000996 0.001972 0.003515 0.005995